Friday, March 31, 2006

MEET THE METS

To put in in terms that I can handle, all I have to do as I write this Friday night, is go to sleep three more times, and then the last time I wake up, it will be Opening Day for the Mets. I can handle that...I think. Only 2 more sleeps until Opening Day for baseball, with the White Sox and Indians. I'll take it.

The starting lineup for the Mets is still a little undecided. Willie Randolph says he has about five or six ideas that he will juggle through the season, but Opening Day is very likely to look something like this:

1. THE GREATEST BALLPLAYER WHO EVER LIVED, Jose Reyes: I expect this, statistically to be his best season yet. I think he'll beat last year's league-leading stolen base total (60), because I think he'll be on base that much more. He will be THE most fun player to watch across the majors this season. Last year was the year for David Wright to be discovered, this year, as his OBP increases, people will start jumping onto the Jose Reyes bandwagon.

2. Paul LoDuca: I think LoDuca will be batting second Opening Day. Anderson Hernandez's bat isn't good enough yet to hit here - but it's a possibility later on. I bet the production out of LoDuca and Ramon Castro compares to the league-leading offensive production at the catching position of Castro and Mike Piazza last year.

3. Carlos Beltran*: While I do expect a bounceback year from Beltran*, I don't think he will be the best number three hitter on the team. Randolph seems happy to keep batting Beltran* third, but he's going to be great out of the 2-hole. Also, the way the lineup is set up now, it really pushes Wright down in the order - I'd love for Beltran* to be 2, with Wright 3.

4. Carlos Delgado: Here begins the right-left-right-left balance of the Mets lineup. They'll be tough for opposing managers to strategize against. Delgado should be solid - hopefully he stays healthy.

5. Future Hall of Famer David Wright: The coming-out party is complete, now it's time to maintain the level of productivity he set last year. On career homer number 41 and counting.....

6. Cliff Floyd: Don't expect the fast start Floyd got off to last year. But also don't expect the slide he went through later in the season. Floyd was tired from carrying the team all year. He doesn't have to do that anymore, and his offensive numbers will be more consistent throughout the year.

7. Xavier Nady: I talked recently about how Nady had been slumping, leading the Mets to consider keeping Victor Diaz on the team. They still haven't made a decision about Diaz, but Nady finished the spring strong, and will be the starting right fielder. I don't really know what to expect out of Nady. Truth be told, I'm not expecting much, so if he hits well, consider it a bonus for me.

8. Anderson Hernandez: The second baseman isn't expected to do much at the plate. Kaz Matsui will be playing once he's healthy to try to increase his trade value, then the Mets will try to unload him and hand Hernandez the job.

STARTERS
1. Pedro Martinez*: Let's not kid ourselves. Tom Glavine is getting the Opening Day start, but Pedro Martinez* is the number one pitcher. The toe won't be a problem. Pedro*'s 3 runs in four innings in his last spring start won't be a problem. Cy Young might be a possibility.

2. Tom Glavine: He's 40. This is his last hurrah. I expect a game effort. I'd say 13-15 wins, 8 losses, and a 3.5-ish ERA. Good enough to help the Mets to the playoffs.

3. Steve Trachsel: I've always said Trachsel has to prove to me he can win when the pressure's on in New York. It still hasn't happened - lately he hasn't been healthy when the pressure's on in New York. Hopefully the health issue is resolved. Let's see if the good pitching thing is resolved.

4. Victor Zambrano: This is the year we'll see whether the work with Rick Peterson is paying off. Otherwise, it was a bad trade.

5. Brian Bannister: Son of Floyd. Not sure what to expect out of him. He earned the starting position with a great spring. That didn't cut it for the likes of Tyler Yates. I like rooting for Mets rookies, and I would love for Bannister to succeed. I just hope he doesn't go back to Norfolk in May with a 5.00 ERA, forcing Aaron Heilman to become a starter.

BENCH
Some positions to be determined here, but the definites seem to be Ramon Castro, Jose Valentin, Endy Chavez, Chris Woodward and Julio Franco. The big thing with these guys is versatility - Valentin, Chavez, and Woodward can play lots of positions. Victor Diaz is still a question mark, depending on the number of relievers the Mets keep.

BULLPEN
Billy Wagner is the closer. Most reliable closer (hopefully) the Mets have had in years. Aaron Heilman, if he continues like he pitched in relief last year, should get the lead to Wagner, and can pitch more than one inning. The rest of the bullpen looks like: Jorge Julio, Duaner Sanchez, and right-handed specialist Chad Bradford. The Mets may keep another lefty, and I think they're still trying to decide if it's Pedro Feliciano or Darren Oliver.

My prediction: 95-67, good enough for the Mets to win the East...then the World Series.

BEAT THE STREAK!: The wife found 'Beat The Streak' had the create-a-league link up, so we now have a league. Here's the info - League Name: JohnnyMets League password: 06mets
Sign up, click here to get there. I promise it'll be fun.

ONE MORE METS NOTE: Somehow, Mitch Wylie wasn't picked up by anyone else, and he accepted an assignment to Norfolk. We'll keep an eye on him at Triple-A, and see how he progresses. This is the Rule 5 guy who impressed this spring.

The next write-up could very well be the first recap of the season on Monday! Enjoy the first games of the season!

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